JRNyquist.com

Grand Strategy in the Age of Mass Destruction

Russia Prepares for War
Commentary for 11 August 2014

By J.R. Nyquist

 

 “We have to strike Poland and the Baltic States, where there are NATO rockets and aircraft. Since we cannot allow one plane to take off and strike Russia – we will have to strike first – half an hour before takeoff. And to be sure, we will be carpet bombing.  America is not a threat, but the small midget states of Europe will cease to exist. They will be wiped out. Then NATO will have to beg us for negotiations. Otherwise we will give them again a May ’45.”
                          – Vladimir Zhirinovsky, August 2014 (Television interview,
8.08.2014.)

“In my book I wrote, more than ten years ago, that 2015 and this year is the break-point of Atlantic civilization.” 
                          
– Dr. Victor Kulish, 12 July 2014, author of Hierarchic Electrodynamics and Free Electron Lasers

 

Last month the grand old man of Russian politics, Yevgeny Primakov, made some rather telling statements during an interview for Russia Beyond the Headlines. Of course, Primakov justified Russia’s annexation of Crimea, but admitted that any insertion of Russian troops into southeast Ukraine would prove to be a “dead end.” According to Primakov such a move would effectively curtail trends which Russia is relying on for future success.

What are these “trends”?

Primakov did not directly say, but a short list might read as follows:  Germany’s gradual drift into Moscow’s orbit, the establishment of Russian military bases in the Caribbean, the rise of Chinese military power in the Pacific, and the ongoing decline of the U.S. economy. Russia stands to gain from each of these “trends.” Even if Moscow is eager to smash Ukraine’s independence movement, it is best to wait. Why disrupt an otherwise favorable situation, especially as the United States continues to weaken?

Primakov says Moscow should rely on Russia’s “friends” in the West. Of course, Russia has plenty of friends, and agents of influence. But with a rising tide of violence in Europe won't the average Russian begin to question Putin’s arms buildup? Meanwhile, in Ukraine, a new generation seeks greater responsibility and a greater say in their government. They do not want Soviet structures in their country. They do not want their presidents to be Kremlin lackeys. They are tired of liberalizations that bring no effective liberation. They are tired of an economy where the ruling class steals what it wants and the rest of society suffers the consequences. They are tired of the Soviet Union, which still exists! So the revolution against Moscow – whatever it is now called – cannot be stopped without violence. And violence begets more violence.

Perhaps the Kremlin thinks it can control the Ukrainian Revolution through its agents in Kiev. Do traitors in the Ukrainian command keep a floating bridge open on the border to supply the pro-Russian separatists? It doesn’t matter, in the long run, because the Russians are still losing in Eastern Ukraine, and Moscow will have to send tanks. They will have to retake Ukraine. They will have to liquidate the spirit of liberty – otherwise it will infect the Russian army itself. It will infect Moscow. Then Putin and his colleagues will be put on trial, and they will not be found innocent.

Without an effective language barrier, what is to prevent the contagion in Ukraine from spreading to Russia? Perhaps this is why Vladimir Putin has planted an artificial insurgency in the heart of Eastern Ukraine. If a military dividing line exists, how can the ideals of the Ukrainian revolution spread to Russia? If the Russian people are psychologically primed for war, how can they think of freedom? Since the Russian people are told, day after day, that the “junta” in Kiev is financed by the U.S. Government or led by neo-Nazis, how can these same Russian people pose a threat to their own beloved government? And so the cause of war has been talked up in the Russian media. And further incidents must be generated to justify intervention against Kiev. Take a gander at an excerpt from this Voice of America story on Ukraine:

The head of Ukraine’s Security Service says pro-Moscow rebels had planned to shoot down a Russian Aeroflot passenger plane the day of the downing of Malaysian Airlines flight MH17, which passed over eastern Ukraine June 17, Interfax-Ukraine quoted Valentyn Nalyvaichenko as saying.

Nalyvaichenko said his agency reached the conclusion during the course of its own investigation into the downing of MH17.

He said that the Russian-provided Buk anti-air missile battery which was used to down MH17 had been transferred to Ukraine for that purpose, and that the Aeroflot plane with Russian passengers on board was supposed to have been shot down over territory controlled by Ukrainian government troops.

‘This terrorist act, cynically, was planned as a pretext for the launch of an all-out aggression [into Ukraine] in response to the mass killing of innocent Russians,’ Nalyvaichenko said.

Lacking any direct proof from Mr. Nalyvaichenko, we must admit the story fits the usual Russian pattern – which is a pattern of provocation. Look at the apartment bombings in 1999 which occurred before the Russian invasion of Chechnya. Famously, these ended in the Ryazan incident which showed that the FSB (KGB) orchestrated the apartment bombings to justify Putin’s invasion of Chechnya. So here we have an allegation by a Ukrainian official that Russia was trying to shoot down their own airliner in order to blame the Ukrainians, and use it as an excuse to invade Ukraine.

If this is the case, then Yevgeny Primakov’s statements of last month were cunning and deceptive. Furthermore, this would fully explain why the Russian media has been beating war drums for months; namely, in support of an impending invasion of Ukraine. This means that Moscow always had an invasion in mind, and only lacked a pretext. This means that Russia’s relations with the West are headed for a break and the Russian leaders don’t care. Something larger is at stake. And if we study Primakov’s words we find an irrefutable admission that war is coming. Primakov says, “The general tone [of our media] was such as if we were preparing the country for war.” He refers to this as some kind of mistake. He admits that “we overdid our coverage of events [in Ukraine].”

Who is he trying to fool?

The Russian media did exactly what it was told to do. There is no other explanation. My analysis suggests that there was no overdoing. Indeed, the Kremlin has been “preparing the country for war.” Primakov has admitted this, with a completely idiotic excuse – as if to say “oops we goofed.” But no, it was intentional. It was done with malice aforethought. And the proof is here, in this Russian television broadcast from Crimea on 9 August 2014.

As the reader can see, the policy of demonizing Ukraine and the United States in the Russian media continues to the present day. If the Russian media was overdoing the pre-war propaganda, then why didn't the bosses fix the problem a month ago? If you watch this Russian media event (linked above), you will see a Russian rock band wearing gas masks as black-clad dancers carry torches to form a swastika. These dancers represent the Maidan rebels, who then assault riot police on stage. Then Russian soldiers arrive to crush and disperse the fascists. Afterwards a large group of sailors sing the national anthem of the USSR while fireworks break over a great structure featuring a large red star. In Euromaidan Press we read, “Today in Russia something scary happened. On live television, broadcast nationally, shot in occupied Crimea in the city of Sevastopol, a musical … ceremony and rock concert was performed at a motorcycle expo attempting to depict Ukraine and its revolution … [as] described by Russian state propaganda….”

With regard to its anti-American content, black-clad Nazis are seen saluting the Right Sector emblem beneath a pyramid emblazoned with the U.S. dollar and the Eye of Providence as seen on the Great Seal of the United States. Notice that a giant striped eagle surrounded by stars, which is meant to represent the United States, is shown to be the supreme engineer of this neo-Nazi (Ukrainian) revolution. If we juxtapose this media event with the curious statement of a former Director of the USSR Central Intelligence Service, Yevgeny Primakov, then we are forced to admit that Russia is still preparing for war.

While Russian television orients the country for war, Primakov’s erstwhile colleagues are working day and night to outflank America by various underhanded maneuvers at the U.S. border. Please read James Simpson’s 20 July article on veteran Border Patrol agent Zach Taylor. Watch the video. Watch what Taylor says about the border crisis and the Russians. Years ago I asked a Russian GRU defector how the Russian military expected to get WMDs into the United States in advance of a major war. He said, “Through the same routes that drugs are taken into the United States.” I say again, watch what Zach Taylor has to say. Watch it once, watch it twice – share it with your friends.

The Russian use of organized crime is not well understood in America. Yet there it is, openly stated by a knowledgeable expert on border security. Those who are interested in more detail should read Joseph D. Douglass book, Red Cocaine. The strategic use of narcotics trafficking is therein explained. Please note that the Mexican mafia is allied to the Russian mafia, which is an instrument of the Kremlin. If you want to understand the threat to America, the border is our first line of defense; and the border has collapsed. In this regard there are many things the American public needs to understand. There is much here that requires our careful study. But most of all, look at the fools in our government, in our media, in our universities.

All good things come to those who have infiltrated their enemy. That is the Kremlin’s path to victory, and it’s been their faith since 1917. You can be sure the Russians have agents in the White House, in our CIA, in our NSA, in our military, in our State Department. “In a globalizing world,” noted Primakov, “it is impossible to talk about an isolated Russia. We are not isolated from others and we do not isolate them, not even our enemies. We have diversified our economic orientation….” And it’s true. Russia’s strategy is not a strategy of isolation. Russia’s strategy is infiltration and integration. That is why the Russians can openly prepare for war and we don’t feel any sense of alarm. Russia’s agents have been surrounding us all along, whispering sweet nothings into our collective ear.

Trouble is coming. Can you hear it's approach? Or are you seduced by sweet nothings?